There is nothing normal in the 2018 race, the Governor of Ohio. Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad makes appearance. Probe of FBI corruption shook. LCA can be important on the Republican side. Welcome to one of the strangest campaigns in 2018.
Both primaries look competitive. Mary Taylor, the sitting Lieutenant-Governor, sends all its fire towards the sitting attorney General and presumptive favorite in the Republican primaries, Mike DeWine, snuggling as close as she could to the right and President of the trump to try to get the upper hand. On the Democratic side, Elizabeth Warren, has endorsed former official of the Obama administration Richard Cordray wants to fend off Dennis Kucinich, former member of Congress who is now “Fox news” talking head with an unusual affinity for trump and the Syrian government.
Hanging over all is the term-society Governor John kasich, who is quite popular in General, but have turned off many in the Republican base with his anti-cover — and Yes, by the way, he continues to publicly fueling speculation that he may try to dump the trump card in the 2020 GOP presidential primaries.
“It takes a very strange place that he is virtually man without a party, though if he were on the ballot, he would have won the election,” Kyle kondik at the University of Virginia center for politics, who has written a book about the politics of Ohio, told me. “I find it very difficult to figure out his place in all this.”
And one more thing: a massive scandal may be brewing in the state capital, Columbus, where state house speaker resigns amid anti-corruption investigations by the FBI.
The primary is may 8. While the money should be in DeWine, the current in the Republican race and of Cordray, a former state attorney General who headed the Bureau for financial consumer protection Obama becoming the Democratic candidate, you can’t take that to the Bank.
The state of a resident of one of the races most important Governor in the country, check whether any Democrat not named Sherrod brown still can win statewide here, and perhaps the most widely open. Considering the swing-state of Ohio nature, all four candidates, could become a Governor of a state in a year.
The main Republican Governor of Ohio, explained
Here’s the problem for the Republicans running to replace Kasich: it can be widely popular — 51 percent approval on the morning advice — but the GOP base is turning against him. A recent survey showed that only 44 percent of Republicans endorsed their Governor in the Cleveland plain dealer, while 77 percent approve of trump.
“They run as fast as they can away from him,” one Republican of Ohio, told me.
DeWine, a Republican attorney General and former U.S. Senator seen as the most likely successor Kasich for a while now. He alone is walking a tightrope on some issues: expanding medicaid, for example, that Kasich spent to bypass the GOP-led legislature, DeWine was difficult to pin down, the Toledo blade reported.
Taylor, meanwhile, has categorically stated that it opposes the expansion of medicaid, even as it covers 300,000 of the poorest people in the state to the state with one of the worst crises of opioids. That tracks with its overall strategy for the adoption of ultra-right positions and trying to strengthen the trump wing of the party painting DeWine as a traitor.
“If you, as President trump, then You won’t like Mike DeWine,” the story of the recent Pro-PKK Taylor ad begins, referring to the alleged heresies of the primary applicant for immigration, weapons and trade.
The latest survey of the race found DeWine with a considerable margin — 43 percent to 26 percent of Taylor — but the gap has narrowed significantly. DeWine was leading 54 percent to 14 percent in January.
Perhaps as a sign DeWine discomfort, its shares went on the offensive against Taylor, TV advertising, portraying it as lazy.
“DeWine has been treating Taylor as a very serious threat now, a little,” said kondik. “Aggression is interpreted as a sign of fear.”
The attorney General, who won four races across the state, is still the favorite Republican of Ohio I spoke to, who supported DeWine, said they were “99.9 percent sure” that he will prevail. And the stamp establishment does not mean that it is moderate: DeWine is a staunch opponent of abortion, who worked with Casecom to try and defund planned parenthood and said he would have signed a bill banning abortions after heartbeat is detected, which Kasich vetoed.
But Taylor is turning it into a race with its aggressive tactics. Another ad slams DeWine for voting for “Amnesty”, while in the Senate, along with Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
The core of the Democratic Governor of Ohio, explained
Democratic competition can also be intense and is something like a family feud inside the left: Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-mA) took one side and Bernie Sanders-correspondence group on the other.
Two big names cordray and Kucinich. Of cordray, then state Treasurer, was elected attorney General of Ohio in the 2008 special election, but lost in 2010 in his bid for a full term — to DeWine. He later served as the first Director of the Bureau for financial consumer protection Agency created in the Dodd-Frank financial regulation bill, from 2012 to 2017.
That probably helped him earn the support of Warren, a progressive stalwart who arrived in Ohio in April in a campaign for cordray.
“There’s no way you can draw the rich Cordray as not progressive,” one Democrat, Ohio, told me. “He took $ 12 billion from wall Street”.
Kucinich, on the other hand, is … eclectic. The former mayor of Cleveland represented the region for 16 years in Congress, becoming one of the most outstanding in the house of the doves and fierce critic of President George Bush and even President Obama for their military adventures. He criticized the Cordray campaign for not enough against guns. The former Congressman received the support of our revolution, the grassroots group that grew out of the presidential campaign of 2016 Sanders, even if the Senator is out of the race.
However, Kucinich is sometimes defended Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad and was paid a Pro-Syrian government groups. He also praised trump’s inaugural speech (the so-deleted tweet), and he appeared on “Fox news” to praise the President’s tariffs on steel and aluminum — although it should be noted that democratic Senator Sherrod brown is also a fan of tariffs.
“I would never discount Dennis Kucinich, because he is a wonderful, energetic campaigner,” the Democrat from Ohio said.
Now, Cordray had passed after Kucinich ways DeWine attacked Taylor. His first campaign Advertising on TV is a positive place with President Obama praising his consumer Finance watchdog.
That a recent poll of Ohio found the Cordray with 27 percent of the democratic primary vote, and 13 percent of voters who supported Kucinich. So are the Cordray healthy, but there are quite a few undecided voters — and at least one real candidate, state Senator Joe Schiavoni who could still shake up the race. (A fourth contender — Supreme Court justice bill O’neill — his moment in the spotlight when he boasted of sleeping with 50 “very attractive women” as a young man. But he’s polling in the low single digits.)
“If the Cordray begins to attack Kucinich on TV, that would be a clear sign that Kucinich is a real threat to Cordray,” kondik, who worked under Cordray when he was the attorney General of Ohio, said.
Looking forward to the General election, it’s really too early to tell. Some unknowns include how much of the race nationalized (i.e., how much of a trump), and if the Senate is leaning brown, the advantage of the Democrats, or away from him.
There is one thing politicians Oh look. The speaker of the house Ohio, cliff Rosenberger announced last week he would retire amid FBI investigation. From Dayton Daily News:
Republicans ruled Ohio since 2010. High-profile ethics scandal for one of its leaders, in an environment that is favorable to Democrats could give either of Cordray or Kucinich couple, they need to get to the Governor’s mansion.
“Kasich is doing his party a favor in that he tries to pass the baton without any ethical problems. But there may be an ethical problem — not with the Governor and with the Republican brand,” said kondik. “Sometimes it helps the Democrats in the big elections in Ohio GOP ethical and corruption issues”.
John kasich 2020, explained
Meanwhile, Kasich, who was Governor of Ohio, since 2010, there have been many trips to new Hampshire in recent years. Or he really, really loves him or is he seriously considers the main problem in relation to the asset in 2020.
“I think I’m increasingly viewed not just as a Republican, but as something else, a sort of hybrid,” Kasich told the new York times during his last trip to the granite state. “I have people of all shapes, sizes, ideologies and party preferences, which are suitable to me. But what does that mean? I don’t know. I was on TV, so all of a sudden want to talk to me. TV moving it, huh?”
Time talked about a potential platform Kasich:
Kasich, of course, ran an unsuccessful presidential campaign in 2016. He was the last candidate to throw from trump won the nomination, but he was not a strong trump card of the applicant — that prize went to Senator Ted Cruz, who is facing moderately serious challenge from Democrat Beto O’rourke in Texas. Kasich only won Ohio, his home state, accumulating 4.3 million votes across the country to 14 million trump.
But he’s term-limited out of the Governor’s mansion, and he doesn’t have much else to do. If nothing else, Kasich is weighing another White House for some time, even if it is challenging a sitting President. I talked to the people who know Kasich several times over the past few months, and the consensus seems to be that they understand why he would look at it, but they hope he understands that it is useless.
Now, however, the Governor didn’t get the memo — maybe because he saw some of the latest polls. Poll February of 2018 at the University of new Hampshire that 60 percent of GOP primary voters would support a trump, while 18 percent would vote for someone else. A solid majority, perhaps, but not completely unassailable position at the current occupant of the White house.
Then, as buzzfeed reported earlier this month that various new Hampshire poll by American research group, found Kasich narrowly trailing trump: 42% to 48% of trump. This is real racing.
Kasich has time to figure out what he wants to do once he leaves office. But his potential candidacy — and its positioning as the main anti-trump card of the Republicans will cast large shadows on the race to succeed him.
Sourse: vox.com
