Premier League Predictions: Goals galore at King Power between Leicester and Everton

After plenty of midweek winners, including Nottingham Forest (5/1) to beat Brighton and Brentford at Chelsea, Jones Knows is back with his betting insights.

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Any winners for Jones Knows this midweek?

Nottingham Forest to beat Brighton: 5/1
Brentford double chance vs Chelsea: 11/10
Fulham 3+ offsides vs Villa: 11/8
Fulham 4+ offsides vs Villa: 5/2
Marc Roca 2+ fouls vs Leicester: 13/8
Leeds 1-1 Leicester: 7/1
Newcastle to win 7+ corners: 6/5
Wins for Man City, Newcastle & a draw between Tottenham & Man Utd

Leicester vs Everton, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports

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The markets don’t tend to factor state of play when pricing up goal expectancy in a game which is a huge advantage to punters who spot an angle. So-called ‘six-pointers’ where relegation is concerned are assumed to be cagey, low-scoring affairs, especially ones involving Everton, whose matches are averaging around 2.2 goals per 90 minutes this season.

However, since the start of March, the 14 matches to involve two teams with genuine relegation worries have seen an average of 3.2 goals scored per game with scorelines like 0-4, 1-5 and 2-4 popping up. Even Leicester’s clash with Leeds in midweek should have flown across the over 2.5 goal line with the expected goals data showing a return of 3.8, and that wasn’t including two disallowed goals.

Leicester City
Everton

Monday 1st May 7:30pm Kick off 8:00pm

Everton can’t just sit and block deliveries anymore. They will have to play at a high tempo to try and cause a rickety Leicester defence trouble. Against what the market is expecting, it could lead to a goal-heavy game with the Evens with Sky Bet on over 2.5 goals a great starting point and the over 3.5 goal line worth a look at 5/2.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Arsenal vs Chelsea, Tuesday 8pm, live on Sky Sports

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Mikel Arteta’s unwillingness to make Arsenal more secure through the centre of their defence in the absence of William Saliba has showcased his naivety and inexperience at the elite level. Liverpool, West Ham, Southampton and Manchester City all have bullied their way to goal in recent weeks with Arsenal conceding 11 goals to a backdrop of 9.8 of expected goals with the central area being particularly vulnerable as shown by Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne on Wednesday.

Arsenal
Chelsea

Tuesday 2nd May 7:00pm Kick off 8:00pm

Frank Lampard is no Pep Guardiola, that’s for sure, but imitation is the best form of flattery and he simply should copy and paste what Guardiola did on Wednesday. Play hard and fast through the middle with a focal point. Worryingly for Arsenal, the only true central striker he has is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who put in a dangerous cameo performance off the bench against Brentford where he looked sharp.

Image: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is 9/1 to score in a Chelsea win

The 33-year-old surely has a point to prove at The Emirates after the way his exit unfolded. Aubameyang to score in a Chelsea win at 9/1 with Sky Bet it is then.