Premier League leaders Arsenal will drop vital points in Sunday’s trip to take on out-of-form Liverpool at Anfield.
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Leeds vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
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Going back to basics has certainly worked the oracle for both of these clubs over the past week. Overcomplicating football can be wonderful to watch but it’s also a dangerous risk – as seen at Leeds with the Marcelo Bielsa and Jesse Marsch reigns. This game screams draw – a result both camps will probably take if you offered it now.
Even without the injured Wilfried Zaha, the Palace forward line that will look to play on the counter-attack are full of trickery customers that draw a healthy amount of fouls. Eberechi Eze (2.08), Michael Olise (2.37) and Jordan Ayew (2.73) all are averaging over two fouls drawn per game over the last 50 matches for Crystal Palace.
The man tasked with putting out fires in the Leeds midfield under Javi Gracia is Marc Roca, who has started five of the last six games in the holding role. In four of those appearances he made two or more fouls, suggesting he’ll be deployed to stop the Palace creativity at source. It’s 11/10 with Sky Bet for Roca to make two or more fouls again. That’ll do nicely.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
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Arsenal are running the gauntlet remarkably well – but boy will they need to stand strong at Anfield.
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Since losing 3-1 to Manchester City, the Gunners have put together seven straight Premier League wins, showing confidence, professionalism and an abundance of attacking skill. This one will all be about mentality. Liverpool, out of form but still devilishly dangerous at Anfield, will be armed with big hitters. Jurgen Klopp’s side have lost just three times at home across all competitions in their last 55 home matches and spanked Manchester United 7-0 in their last Anfield encounter.
Can Arsenal stand up in the cauldron? I think the prices are about right, with Arsenal 7/5 with Sky Bet for the away win, so I will perch myself on the fence and get involved in the offsides market.
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There have been 5.7 total match offsides per game in nine matches between Klopp’s Liverpool and Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal in all competitions, including nine in the corresponding fixture at the Emirates Stadium earlier this season which ended 3-2. I am foreseeing a similar free-scoring encounter, which should lend itself to an offside frenzy with both teams employing a high line. The 13/8 with Sky Bet for six or more match offsides and the 5/2 for seven or more both appeal.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
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