Sudan’s Ongoing Conflict: Plus Three Key Questions, Resolved.

Children’s Hospital in El Fasher - October 30, 2025

Figures suggest almost 400,000 individuals have perished during Sudan’s civil conflict, which has spanned over two years, although the actual figure remains unconfirmed.

The devastation occurring within the Sudanese locale of El Fasher has escalated to such an extent that its visible consequences can be discerned even from space.

The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) – responsible for initiating a fierce internal conflict by attacking Khartoum, the nation’s capital, two years prior – ultimately seized control of El Fasher in the past week. The RSF’s triumph in capturing this bastion transpired after an extended 18-month encirclement, resulting in roughly 150,000 inhabitants being confined within El Fasher, compelled to rely on precipitation and provisions intended for animals for sustenance. In the midst of a comprehensive communications breakdown, satellite-derived visual data and geographically pinpointed social media updates represent some of the scant indications accessible for piecing together a depiction of the widespread offenses.

This narrative initially surfaced within the Future Perfect bulletin.

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The occurrences in Sudan mirror aspects of the appalling Darfur cataclysm from the early 2000s, during which the RSF executed an ethnically-driven slaughter on the same communities under siege presently. Nonetheless, the ongoing internal strife may engender even heightened degrees of brutality, widespread removal of inhabitants, and maladies. Still, the conflict-induced scarcity of food in Sudan, recognized as the globe’s paramount humanitarian predicament, suffers from insufficient recognition and financial aid. Numbers indicate around 400,000 fatalities over the conflict’s two-year duration, yet the conclusive figure remains unverifiable.

Whilst deliberations surrounding a proposed ceasefire for humanitarian purposes persist, the ongoing violence appears set to continue in the foreseeable future. The dimensions of the conflict have already been exposed. Sudan is in dire straits. Presented is essential insight.

What factors led to the existing situation?

A mere six years prior, Sudan appeared on track for a notable democratic advancement.

It commenced due to bread expenses. In an effort to settle debts with foreign entities, Omar al-Bashir, the long-reigning dictatorial figure, implemented the elimination of a crucial financial aid mechanism, essentially magnifying commodity costs threefold. This, in turn, spurred advocates for democratic governance to swarm the avenues in protest. These nonviolent demonstrations precipitated al-Bashir’s removal in April of 2019, after his three-decade incumbency, leading to the establishment of a provisional council involving both civilian and military components.

However, as the deadline for a democratic transition neared in 2021, two generals – Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, heading the government Sudanese army, and Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, leader of the RSF, the paramilitary force notoriously employed by al-Bashir to perpetrate mass killings against countless individuals in Darfur two decades earlier – had reservations. Unwilling to relinquish authority to a civilian-dominated administration, they combined forces to instigate another successful takeover.

Yet, dissension quickly arose between the generals concerning which faction would assert itself as the nation’s authorized military entity. In April of 2023, the RSF initiated an offensive on the capital, Khartoum, resulting in ongoing strife between the two parties since then.

To what degree has the situation deteriorated?

Grasping the magnitude of the catastrophe presents difficulties.

Aside from the hundreds of thousands of lives forfeited in the preceding couple of years, excess of 12 million individuals – representing roughly a fourth of the country’s total population – have undergone displacement. Scarcity of food has become widespread throughout segments of the country, with almost half the populace experiencing severe nutritional deprivation. Both factions have faced accusations of committing transgressions against the established rules of combat.

A woman sits in a makeshift tent

The famine being driven by conflict in Sudan, considered the most severe humanitarian problem in the world, is both overlooked and under resourced.

Recent days have witnessed a sharp downturn in circumstances in Darfur, which is a western part of the country that is about the size of Spain. The RSF constructed massive earth barricades during the blockade, thereby severing El Fasher’s access to provisions, pharmaceuticals, and support from humanitarian organizations.

Now that the city’s defenses have been penetrated by the paramilitary group, the amount of bloodshed has been appalling. Much of the aggression has taken on an ethnic aspect, with allegations pointing to the RSF, which is largely made up of Arabs, specifically targeting Darfurians of African descent.

According to Mathilde Vu, an aid professional affiliated with the Norwegian Refugee Council operating in Sudan, the sparse few who have been able to escape from El Fasher “show up in a state of such extreme desiccation that they are incapable of articulating themselves” at a press conference. Allegedly, there was an instance in which over 450 individuals were killed in a maternity facility located in El Fasher. Accounts abound that involve the use of sexual assault, coercion, and locations containing numerous deceased individuals. And there does not seem to be any cessation on the horizon.

Why has it not come to an end?

To some extent, this is attributable to the involvement of entities external to the area.

For a number of years, the United Arab Emirates has been secretly supplying the RSF with highly developed weaponry and mercenary forces. As consideration, they have acquired gold, livestock, and arable land.

For the previous two years, the majority of the global community has largely remained detached, while the disparities between the primary participants in the conflict appear to be escalating regarding the structure of Sudan’s military going forward. Furthermore, the United States has refrained from either denouncing or putting an end to the transactions involving arms sales to one of its allies, the UAE, in light of the latter’s involvement in intensifying the warfare.

Vu, who had recently been informed by individuals residing in Darfur that they “felt left to their own devices,” expressed her opinion that “the global community needs to become aware of what is taking place.”

Nevertheless, a primary assembly of nations, recognized as the Quad (comprising the USA, the UAE, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia), has engaged in endeavors to broker a cessation of hostilities over the course of the last several months. In addition, subsequent to extensive indignation regarding the acts of brutality committed in El Fasher, the RSF gave its preliminary assent to a fresh accord proposed by the Quad on Thursday, which was intended to bring an end to the bloodshed.

Nevertheless, the Sudanese armed forces, which has been the beneficiary of assistance originating from Egypt, has, to a significant extent, dismissed the arrangement, as they have declined to commit to the truce unless the RSF consents to disarm themselves. And considering the recent escalation, it appears improbable that this will take place in the near future.

How can I be of assistance?

A considerable number of the regions in Sudan that have been most impacted by the recent acts of violence are now entirely disconnected from any form of humanitarian assistance. This is the factor that has rendered the incursion so lethal.

However, it is possible for you to make a contribution.

Aid providers, such as Vu, remain actively involved across the nation in endeavors to supply survivors with sustenance, shelter, and urgent therapeutic interventions. They will also be the initial respondents to arrive in El Fasher in the event that the ceasefire is upheld and the hostilities cease.

Vu observed that “the world has not effectively addressed the matter at hand.” Her team has been compelled to triage resources due to substantial shortages in funding. “Is our focus on aiding those who have just arrived, or on supporting those who arrived during the prior month?”

You are able to lend your support to Vu’s team through the Norwegian Refugee Council, in addition to other aid organizations presently working on the ground.

  • The local emergency response teams in Sudan have been managing the food crisis by employing mutual aid strategies.
  • The Sudanese American Physicians Association provides assistance to a number of hospitals located all over the nation and is presently collecting money with the intention of providing assistance in the medical field.
  • Shelter, food, unadulterated water, and healthcare amenities are being offered to families residing in Sudan courtesy of Save the Children.
  • The United Nations along with the Center for Disaster Philanthropy have funds specifically assigned to backing humanitarian initiatives.

A couple of decades ago, prominent individuals grouped together to bring about the cessation of the violence that was occurring in Darfur; however, the gaze of the global community swiftly shifted elsewhere. Currently, to a greater degree than ever before, both your contributions and your ability to advocate could bring about a noteworthy alteration.

Source: vox.com

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