Government Closure 2025: Trump’s Civil Servant Dismissal Vow Could Be Empty

Government Shutdown Anticipated As House And Senate Clash Over Financing Measure

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is surrounded by reporters as he exits the Capitol for a discussion with President Donald Trump at the White House on September 29, 2025, in an effort to avert a government cessation.

The Trump government intends to employ a government cessation as a means to dismantle the Democratic Party’s favored national organizations.

Or, in any case, this is the impression the president seeks to convey to Democrats, as they deliberate over a bill to hinder federal appropriations from ending on October 1.

The previous week, White House budget director Russell Vought directed federal entities to contemplate widespread dismissals, assuming a cessation occurs. Vought clarified that such diminishment should be restricted to departments that President Donald Trump has little interest in: Organizations essential to the president’s agenda — such as Homeland Security and Defense — should be safeguarded.

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This prompted the Washington Post to announce that a cessation might engender “a federal government significantly reoriented to defense, immigration and law enforcement — and little else.” Formulating such an efficient administrative structure has been a longstanding objective of conservative zealots, one they endorsed in their notorious “Project 2025” blueprint. As per the Post, Vought and his supporters believe a cessation would afford them a chance to achieve these goals.

Six months prior, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer surmised the identical viewpoint. In March, Schumer opted to aid Republicans in sustaining the government’s operational status, fundamentally because a cessation would facilitate their campaign against the federal bureaucracy. “During a cessation, the Trump government would possess comprehensive authority to designate entire agencies, programs, and personnel as ‘non-essential,’ placing staff on furlough without any pledge of future reemployment,” Schumer stated. “In essence, a cessation would entrust Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and DOGE, and Russell Vought with the keys to the city, state and country.”

Schumer has apparently altered his stance.

Republicans have extended his party a seven-week continuing resolution, which would perpetuate government financing at existing spending tiers through November 21. Democrats have thus far declined to endorse such a measure, insisting that any fiscal measure incorporate, among other provisions, a revocation of Trump’s Medicaid reductions and an augmentation of amplified Affordable Care Act allowances slated to conclude at the year’s completion.

If a cessation were to genuinely activate the conservative movement’s protracted triumph over the administrative state, then Schumer’s revised position would appear imprudent.

However, there exist several rationales to contemplate that Trump is posturing.

Related

  • Democrats cannot preserve democracy by suspending government operations

Why Trump Might Be Exaggerating Regarding Widespread Dismissals of Federal Employees

Firstly, the president possesses no amplified legal jurisdiction to permanently terminate civil servants during a cessation than he does under ordinary circumstances.

When the federal budget concludes, numerous dependent government functions must be halted and the personnel who facilitated those functions must be furloughed (i.e., suspended briefly without remuneration).

However, the government cannot legally convert a furlough into a termination without negotiating all the customary limitations on diminishing organizations. Numerous federal employees benefit from robust civil service protections. And numerous government functions are mandated by Congress. Effectively suspending enforcement of environmental regulations by mass dismissal of Environmental Protection Agency staff is no more legitimate within the framework of a cessation than it is at present. Conversely, during a cessation, most agencies would not be legally authorized to implement personnel revisions unrelated to the cessation itself, as their HR departments would lack funding.

Naturally, this White House displays minimal regard for constitutional restraints on its conduct. And it essentially eradicated USAID — dismissing the majority of its staff — in violation of congressional authorization. A federal district court mandated the government to reinstate funding for the agency, determining that Trump’s actions contravened both federal statutes and the Constitution. However, the Supreme Court’s conservative majority overruled that adjudication. (The Court has not issued a “final determination” on the constitutionality of Trump’s actions, but provided the government the authorization to withhold USAID funding until such a determination is achieved.)

There are viable, political justifications why the Trump government has not enacted Vought’s schematic for a diminutive administrative state.

Nevertheless, if the government aspired to dismantle every agency with an ambiguously liberal mission on specious legal justifications, it could already be undertaking such measures.

And there is cause to speculate that the government does not sincerely desire to implement Vought’s vision. In the end, it already abandoned a comparable strategy. Elon Musk’s DOGE dedicated Trump’s initial months attempting to extensively diminish nearly every government entity. However, once Trump’s personally selected department leaders were in place, they resisted Musk’s intrigues, as they did not wish their newly acquired domains to be rendered entirely incompetent.

Furthermore, decreasing the federal government to “defense, immigration and law enforcement — and little else” would be politically destabilizing. Numerous voters would observe the sudden deficit in other government services, as IRS assistance lines remain unanswered, new Social Security applications remain unrefined, the FDA’s medication approval procedure slows to a standstill, the State Department’s backlog of passport requests expands, FEMA’s provision of disaster relief decelerates, or various other agency functions encounter disruption.

In other words, there exist viable, political justifications why the Trump government has not executed Vought’s schematic for a diminutive administrative state. And these considerations would not dissipate amid a cessation.

Related

  • The Democrats’ cessation debate concerns something substantially greater

Why Trump Just Might Utilize a Cessation to Dismantle the Regulatory State

Considering all of this, it remains plausible that Schumer was accurate the first instance — and that Trump genuinely would utilize a cessation as a pretext for disemboweling the regulatory state.

The White House’s reaction to Charlie Kirk’s assassination might constitute a pertinent antecedent. The fatal shooting of that conservative commentator did not furnish Trump with any augmented legal authority to suppress progressive nonprofits, activism, and speech. However, Trump has nevertheless utilized that startling development to accomplish precisely that.

If Trump’s team believes that its most extreme objectives are politically sustainable in an emergency — but not during normal durations — then they might readily intensify their assaults on the federal bureaucracy amid a cessation.

Legally, the government possesses no greater authority to disregard the civil service safeguards of a furloughed employee than those of an actively employed one. However, politically, declining to rehire civil servants who are already suspended might appear more facile than dismissing those presently on the job. Likewise, the government may experience greater ease in sustaining curtailments in government services than instigating them.

It still appears probable that the White House is overstating the radicalism of its cessation strategies, in order to secure enhanced influence over Senate Democrats. However, we cannot ascertain that with certainty. Democrats will therefore be undertaking a high-stakes wager, should they resolve to challenge Trump’s (apparent) bluff.

Source: vox.com

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