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Our tipster Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League, sprinkling his analysis over the weekend card and is all over Newcastle to beat Man Utd.
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Arsenal vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
In the words of Gary Neville, we are now approaching “the winter slog – where you get rid of the pretenders”.
This is the period where Arsenal may just win the Premier League title for which they can be backed at 100/30 with Sky Bet. Mikel Arteta has developed a team built for the winter slog.
Full of grit. Full of defensive solidity.
And they just could be about to put a lengthy unbeaten run together. Wolves arrive with Arsenal unbeaten in their last 10 home games, winning eight and scoring 16 goals in their last four.
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Suspensions to key midfield duo Joao Gomes and Mario Lemina, along with the continued absence of Pedro Neto should make this a potentially comfortable afternoon for Arsenal but we need to get creative to boost their win price of 1/4 with Sky Bet. There is a way to get us to near Evens by adding Wolves to be awarded more booking points than Arsenal through the Bet Builder.
Wolves have committed the most fouls (179) and racked up the second most yellow cards (40) this season while Arsenal’s opponents have been shown more cards in all the last seven fixtures. Despite being a physical outfit and difficult to beat, the Gunners have been shown the fewest yellow cards this season (17). They are the gentle giants.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
All this evidence makes this a very winnable fixture for Chelsea but the 8/11 with Sky Bet isn’t a price I’m willing to play at considering the hot and cold nature of the Blues at home. I’d much rather back a bigger price for Chelsea to win by three or more goals at 5/1.
When Brighton get beat, it can escalate quickly into a thrashing as shown in heavy defeats to Everton and Aston Villa under De Zerbi. And in their last seven Premier League defeats, the aggregate score has been a whopping 25-7 in favour of the opposition.
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Chelsea -2 handicap (5/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Liverpool vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm
This might be a case of missing the wedding and attending the funeral but after raving about Trent Alexander-Arnold’s goalscoring and shots prices for most of this season it would be rude not to bring to attention his prices this weekend with his confidence likely flowing after his first goal of the season at Manchester City.
Image: Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates after scoring
It’s time Alexander-Arnold upped his strike-rate in front of goal. Since undergoing the tactical tweak to play him more centrally, the England man has only scored twice in 22 appearances – a disappointing return of a player with his undoubted quality playing in such an attack-minded side. However, that goal at the Etihad should spark his already spiking shot numbers – he’s had 10 in his last five games. So, the 4/6 with Sky Bet for him to register two or more shots looks a very solid play and the 13/2 anytime price is also worth a look in what looks a routine home win for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
West Ham vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Image: West Ham vs Crystal Palace, live on Sky Sports
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West Ham have won five of their last six games, duly cantered into the knockout stages of the Europa League, have a Carabao Cup quarter-final to look forward to and are just eight points off top four. So, why am I not remotely interested in the Evens with Sky Bet for them to beat a very ordinary and ambitionless Crystal Palace, who are missing their main man in Eberechi Eze.
This just reeks of a slow burner.
Palace are notorious for allowing games to drift and play risk-free football in the first halves with 10 of their 13 games seeing them fail to score this season. It’s resulted in eight of those 13 matches going in at the break 0-0 and the 15/8 with Sky Bet on offer here for such a scenario does look like an edge to exploit.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester City vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Image: Man City vs Spurs, live on Sky Sports
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Tottenham are heavily odds-on to lose a fourth straight Premier League match for the first time in 19 years. Surely the manager must go. Bring Jose back. Or Antonio. This would never happen on their watch. Who wants fun anyway.
Joshing aside, Spurs could be gobbled up here by a damaging scoreline but from a punting perspective I’m all for following them to contribute towards what’s likely to be a very high goals total. Tottenham to score two or more at 11/4 with Sky Bet stands out.
As Chelsea showed in the 4-4 draw with City, if you can take the game into chaotic mode then City can be vulnerable through their midfield where Rodri is being overworked. Spurs thrive on chaos and they top the charts in the Premier League for shots from open play and fast breaks this season (164).
Dejan Kulusevski also remains overpriced to score at 13/2. He has scored in both of Spurs’ last trips to the Etihad Stadium and is getting into some dangerous scoring positions of late, notching against Chelsea and hitting the post in the 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa.
Image: Dejan Kulusevski celebrates after scoring a late winner for Spurs against Sheffield United
His positional play really caught my eye last Sunday as it seems Ange Postecoglou is negating the loss of creativity from James Maddison’s injury by playing a front four with Kulusevski still playing off the right but with more instruction to play as a second striker. If this trend continues, then a player of his intelligence and skill is going to see a huge increase in his strike rate in front of goal – hopefully starting on Sunday.
Image: Kulu
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Dejan Kulusevski to score (13/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Sourse: skysports.com
