Premier League predictions: Aston Villa to flounder at Everton

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Our tipster Jones Knows sprinkles his analysis over the latest Premier League fixtures, predicting Everton to get the better of Aston Villa on Super Sunday.

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Everton have made the second-most fouls (253) in the Premier League this season while only Tottenham (292) have won more fouls than Aston Villa (257) this season. This has led me to the Everton player fouls market in a game that could be very bitty, where Andre Gomes, if selected, looks an exciting play to make two or more fouls at 11/8 with Sky Bet and to make three or more fouls at 9/2.

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In 5,790 minutes of Premier League action during his time with Everton, Gomes is averaging 2.38 fouls per 90 minutes – that makes him one of the biggest foul merchants in Premier League history.

Over the past 20 seasons, only Glenn Murray (2.68), Marouane Fellaini (2.57) and Ashley Barnes (2.47) have a higher fouls per game ratio of players to have played over 5,000 Premier League minutes than Gomes. The Everton midfielder, who returned from long-term injury in December, has already made eight fouls in just 159 minutes of action across all competitions, including somehow making a foul despite playing just one minute in the 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace.


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I want to run as far as I can away from making a confident prediction on this encounter.

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Which Manchester United will turn up? Not even Erik ten Hag knows, so what chance does an idiot like me stand?

There are bound to be goals but the market has that covered with just 2/5 with Sky Bet on offer for both teams to score. A scoring draw at 100/30 might be the way in as a stalemate is due at Old Trafford – it’s been 17 games since United have drawn a game at home in the Premier League. Plus, there’s been no draws in the last 17 meetings between United and Spurs at Old Trafford a run dating back to October 2005. Those who love a trend-ender should consider getting on.

There is value to be had in the player offsides market where Bruno Fernandes is worth a look at 15/8 with Sky Bet to be caught offside by Tottenham’s high line. Only Aston Villa have caught more players offsides this season with Spurs racking up 64 offsides against. Despite not playing as the focal point, Fernandes does tend to wander into offside positions in his free role – as shown by his three offsides recorded in the 3-2 win over Aston Villa, taking his tally to eight for the season. The 15/8 looks generous.



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